WEBVTT

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All right. Good morning everybody to ...

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the last session of Area 6.

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My name is Severin Habisreutinger.

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I'm the external projects manager at Oxford pv.

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I will be chairing this session together with my lovely co-chair,

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Dr. Noel from the University of Oxford.

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The original co chair, Sam Teale actually cannot be ...

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here for a very interesting reason.

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He is currently racing a horse that is not a metaphor,

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but there is a literal marathon in Wales right now,

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man versus horse that he is currently running or is about to.

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Unfortunately, we don't have a live stream ...

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because that would have been very entertaining to ...

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every once in a while check in with Sam to see how he's doing.

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Other than that, just a quick reminder that if ...

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you have questions, always use the microphone ...

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because they are being recorded.

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Other than that, I would like to introduce our ...

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first speaker of the session, which is Malcolm Abbott from ...

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Australia from PV Lighthouse, who is going to tell us all ...

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about the spectral correction in yield forecast for two ...

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terminal perovskite silicon tandem modules.

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Malcolm, whenever you're ready.

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Okay, thank you for that introduction.

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I don't know quite how I can compete with man versus ...

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horse, but maybe spectral correction ...

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in yield forecasts is second best.

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So thanks everyone for being here on the final morning of ...

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the conference.

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For those of you who don't know PV Lighthouse,

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we're an Australian company and we provide software and ...

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expertise to the industry.

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We've been doing that for over 10 years now and at ...

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previous IEEE conferences we've been presenting in the system space.

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In particular last year we were talking about spectral ...

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correction of crystalline silicon panels.

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But with the emergence of all the press releases around ...

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tandems pushing towards commercialization,

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we thought it would be interesting and useful to start ...

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integrating that into our yield forecasting software as well.

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So there are a lot of reasons why you might want to solve ...

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the energy yield of tandem technologies.

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I mean, we talk a lot about standard ...

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test conditions, but once you've had your ...

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moment of fame on the IV tester,

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ultimately you go out into the field where you do experience ...

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a range of conditions.

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So it can be useful from that perspective.

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But there's other points to make here as well.

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If we are heading towards utility scale,

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then yield forecasts are actually required and they're ...

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used at various stages.

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So we need to make sure that by the time that's happening,

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we have software in place that can do this with confidence for those people.

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And I think in terms of integrating tandems,

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it gets quite interesting because obviously the ...

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spectral dependence is quite a lot stronger and how that ...

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then mixes in with the thermal effects.

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So we've started putting that into our software.

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But part of the reason we wanted to come into this sort ...

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of a session was to say to people that if you are working ...

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on this and characterizing things,

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to keep this in mind as well, because developing more ...

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models would be really appreciated.

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And particularly for us, what we're looking for is ...

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things that can solve quickly, because our yield solves all ...

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have to happen less than 15 minutes,

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and typically we're talking about a few minutes.

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So we need stuff that's quick to solve.

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And there's some other interesting things that come ...

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up once you start integrating this into your software.

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Like what happens in the case of bifacial.

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We spend a lot of time solving that for people.

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And so how does that work for tandems?

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How are they going to interact with inverters?

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Because the inverter is what's setting the operating point.

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And do you want to start optimizing the design of the ...

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cell and module for the field?

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Now, last point to make here is that ...

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there is actually a de facto standard yield software that's ...

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used out there.

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It's PVsyst, and love it or hate it,

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it is required at times that you have a PVsyst report.

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And so another thing that we look at in this paper is "can it ...

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be used for tandems and how can we calibrate it to do that?"

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So PV Lighthouse is well known for the SunSolve software.

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It can solve something as simple as just a wafer.

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You can start adding thin films,

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metal fingers, that sort of thing.

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Create a cell in a module.

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It's used by all the major cell and module manufacturers.

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I think we calculated something like 60%

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of all modules in 2024 were from SunSolve customers.

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And there's been over 100 academic papers so citing it.

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So it's pretty well validated at this point.

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But you can actually connect that all the way down to the system level.

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And down there we have major developers and IEs ...

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using it to answer complicated questions on a system level.

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The most relevant thing maybe to go into today,

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because to describe how that all works would take too long.

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It accounts for the wavelength dependence.

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So it's in the materials in the cell.

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It's in things like the albedo in the system.

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And when we solve the yield, we actually synthesize the ...

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spectra for direct and diffuse light at every hour.

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So you can make changes on the thickness of your thin film ...

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and see how that's going to play out in terms of energy yield.

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And that's what we're going to be looking at a little bit today ...

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with the tandems.

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Now, we don't make tandem cells.

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We had to go and borrow one from the literature.

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Kaust use SunSolve, they had a model for their tandem.

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So this is what we're going to use as an example.

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You can see there where they've matched the output of ...

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SunSolve to their measurements.

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So that's the cell that we'll be using.

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Now one of the interesting things is how we going to ...

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handle the thermal side of it.

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So for this first version of it, what we've done is we've ...

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treated it just like we do crystalline silicon.

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So we start with an optical solve,

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we do that at a single temperature and then we're ...

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going to correct the light generated current for the top ...

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and bottom cell based on the operating temperature that ...

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we've calculated.

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So to get that, we've fit the coefficients to ...

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this measurement data here.

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And that was measured, in the actual stack.

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So you've got the top cell, that's pretty clear how that's changing.

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But then for the crystalline silicon there's two ...

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components to it because the current increases with the ...

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increasing temperature.

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But then there's also an additional amount of current ...

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that's coming through that top layer.

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This was captured here and we add that into the coefficient.

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So these temperature coefficients for the Jsc are ...

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different to what we would usually use for crystalline silicon.

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So that's where we're at.

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And this is an example of where we would like some better models.

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And you can have a look at the paper as well.

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For things like the voltage. Obviously this is for front side illumination.

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So what happens from the rear side is a bit of a problem.

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It's not wavelength dependent yet.

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So there's a lot more we could do here.

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And if anyone has any ideas, they're welcome to contact us.

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We are then going to put that cell into a module.

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We've built that up.

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That's the SunSolve interface there.

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We've added EVA and glass layers.

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And really what I've done is I've just swapped out a PERC ...

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cell for a two terminal tandem cell here.

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So it's 144 half cut cells.

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I think that panel was about 700 W.

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And then we put that into a system.

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SunSolve can create quite complicated 3D scenes.

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But we don't need that here because we're just really ...

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focusing in on the cell and module technology.

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But what we've done is mounted it on a single axis ...

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tracker and then we've scaled that out to create an entire array of them.

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We had to match the voltage to the inverter.

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So there's 10 modules in the string and then there's a ...

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whole bunch of strings in parallel connected to quite a ...

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large inverter.

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We've also, for the paper,

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used a DC to AC ratio of 1.3.

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That's where we've oversized the DC side so that on certain ...

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days there's going to be clipping.

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And we did that because we wanted to have a look at how ...

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that changes the spectral effects before and after,

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basically on the DC and AC sides.

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So how do we calculate the spectral correction?

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Well, we start with the first ...

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SunSolve simulation where we synthesize the spectra and ...

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then we run the simulation again where we always use ...

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AM1.5g. We combine those two to get ...

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our spectral correction.

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So this is a factor that you'd put out the front of the power ...

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had you not accounted for spectra.

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And it gives you what the proper power would be.

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So if it goes below one, you would have overestimated ...

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your power had you not done this.

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And we do that at every hour of the day.

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The paper looks at eight sites.

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We'll just have a look at a couple of them in this talk.

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So we've got the PERC cell from last year's paper on the ...

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left, the tandem on the right.

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We've got two different sites here,

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Golden at the top and Beijing down the bottom.

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And we like using those two sites because Golden tends to ...

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have quite a flat response through the seasons,

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whereas Beijing varies a lot.

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And it just comes down to how the local atmospheric ...

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conditions either line up or don't with changes in the ...

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position of the sun and the air mass.

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The spectral changes for the tandem,

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it's more dependent, so it's much bigger.

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It's like four times there [compared to the PERC].

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You can see the factors if you look at it from an annual ...

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energy point of view.

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In Beijing, we're talking about a 5%

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error we would have had in the yield had we not done this.

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And then there's also quite a bit of seasonal variation.

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That can be important because sometimes what ...

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we're doing with yield assessment is we're actually ...

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comparing it to measurements at a particular time of year.

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And so if you're only looking at a couple of weeks or a ...

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couple of days, you really need to account for ...

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these sorts of spectral changes through the year.

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In terms of bifaciality, we solve the bifacial gain for ...

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the system by running another simulation where we cover the ...

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backside of the panel and you can see for the PERC,

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in this case it's quite significant 6.7% bifacial gain.

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There was still some gain for the two terminal tandem.

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I mean, you need the conditions to be ...

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such that the top cell is not limiting what extra is coming in ...

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the backside, but it is reduced.

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Now you can try to optimise for that by thickening up the ...

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perovskite on the top, but it will be tricky because ...

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there is a wide range of rear irradiances that are going on.

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And you'd really have to do it for each site to find where the ...

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best design is.

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When we run that sort of optimization,

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we typically find that what would be best for STC is not ...

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really best for what would happen in the actual site itself.

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Then we have the inverter clipping.

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So here we're looking at three different days.

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The blue is the AC output of the inverter and the red is the ...

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DC side coming off the array.

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And you can see for that first sunny day where you get this ...

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whole part of the day where you're exceeding what's ...

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happening and it's clipping off.

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Sometimes as a cell engineer that's really disappointing ...

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because you've spent all this effort to get extra power out ...

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and then it's gone on those days.

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But you can see that what's happening is when you come ...

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down to the cloudy day, it still matters.

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Now, the effect on the spectral ...

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correction is that it becomes one during these times.

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It really doesn't matter if you were accounting for it or not ...

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because you've clipped it off.

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So you need to think about whether you're assessing this on the DC

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side or whether you want to get onto the AC side and have ...

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a look at what it meant in that context.

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SunSolve lets you string this all the way through to the ...

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inverter level and take a look.

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And maybe you'd be optimizing now for different ...

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times of day and cloudy conditions.

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So I'm just going to finish up by talking about PVsyst.

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So a lot of software that's out there requires spectral ...

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correction through a kind of model like you can see there ...

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in the middle, where you just have an ...

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equation that links to the things like air mass and ...

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precipitate water vapor.

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And then it has these coefficients out the front.

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So that's in the software right now and it has default ...

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coefficients you can see those in the purple line here.

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So what we're plotting is the spectral correction factor ...

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versus the air mass.

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And the yellow dots are what came off that SunSolve ...

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simulation we were looking at for Beijing.

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What we're doing to sort of calibrate this model is we're ...

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then refitting those coefficients to what we've ...

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simulated, and then we can put that into ...

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PVsyst, and that starts to account for ...

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the spectral correction.

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So that allows you to then use PVsyst more accurately.

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And SunSolve is able to do all of that.

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It is sort of hard to follow this one,

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but it's an example of how it works.

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On the left, we've got the assumption that ...

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there's AM1.5g, and we're always comparing ...

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on the bottom axis there to where we've synthesized it.

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So we have an error in the annual yield of 5%

00:12:37.611 --> 00:12:39.319
there when we haven't corrected for it.

00:12:39.640 --> 00:12:42.840
And then we've applied that First Solar correction just to those dots.

00:12:43.160 --> 00:12:44.880
We haven't run PVsyst here.

00:12:44.880 --> 00:12:46.788
There's other differences between SunSolve and ...

00:12:46.788 --> 00:12:47.951
PVsyst, but we've applied the ...

00:12:47.951 --> 00:12:49.719
correction factor to bring that back across.

00:12:50.440 --> 00:12:54.074
And it got all the way to zero, which is somewhat surprising ...

00:12:54.074 --> 00:12:57.559
because this side actually has a lot of aerosols as well.

00:12:58.000 --> 00:13:02.491
But we find that we can usually get it close to zero ...

00:13:02.491 --> 00:13:05.119
through this way of doing it.

00:13:05.440 --> 00:13:08.448
So this is at least an initial way that we can use PVsyst ...

00:13:08.448 --> 00:13:10.319
for these sorts of technologies.

00:13:11.040 --> 00:13:14.455
So just to finish up, spectral effects are significant ...

00:13:14.455 --> 00:13:16.533
for two terminal tandem systems,

00:13:16.533 --> 00:13:20.171
and you can use SunSolve to explore that and quantify it for ...

00:13:20.171 --> 00:13:22.398
different technologies and sites.

00:13:23.120 --> 00:13:27.400
On both the DC and AC side, it's computing the synthetic spectra.

00:13:27.640 --> 00:13:30.100
And it's probably worth pointing out that is also an ...

00:13:30.100 --> 00:13:32.732
area of research still coming up with better and better ...

00:13:32.732 --> 00:13:35.078
models for recreating that from the atmosphere.

00:13:35.480 --> 00:13:38.335
And so you can do that for any system and location,

00:13:38.335 --> 00:13:41.399
and you can also use it to inform PVsyst simulations.

00:13:42.280 --> 00:13:44.068
So with that, I'd like to thank ARENA,

00:13:44.068 --> 00:13:45.799
who are now funding some of our work.

00:13:46.280 --> 00:13:48.453
And if you want to learn more about SunSolve,

00:13:48.453 --> 00:13:50.039
we have the sunsolve.info site.

00:13:50.600 --> 00:13:52.920
We post stuff on a blog and videos there as well.

00:13:53.000 --> 00:13:54.360
Thank you for listening.

00:13:59.760 --> 00:14:01.280
Excellent. Questions.

00:14:04.240 --> 00:14:09.720
[Nils from Total] Hi Mal, thank you.

00:14:09.720 --> 00:14:10.960
Lots of stuff in there.

00:14:11.680 --> 00:14:14.168
A naive question, because I didn't capture all of ...

00:14:14.168 --> 00:14:15.199
what you presented.

00:14:15.440 --> 00:14:19.286
Were you suggesting that, at least to some degree of ...

00:14:19.286 --> 00:14:22.238
accuracy, one can represent the effect ...

00:14:22.238 --> 00:14:25.905
of a tandem outdoor performance by just applying ...

00:14:25.905 --> 00:14:30.198
a certain spectral mismatch factor in a single junction.

00:14:31.160 --> 00:14:33.000
Namely PVsyst simulation.

00:14:34.360 --> 00:14:35.788
Yeah, that's right.

00:14:35.788 --> 00:14:39.400
So PVsyst often deals with effects by just creating ...

00:14:39.400 --> 00:14:41.080
factors, loss factors.

00:14:42.040 --> 00:14:44.747
And when CdTe and First Solar came along,

00:14:44.747 --> 00:14:48.648
they needed a way to account for the fact that it really uses ...

00:14:48.648 --> 00:14:50.479
the spectrum differently.

00:14:51.040 --> 00:14:52.960
And so that was what was developed for that.

00:14:53.600 --> 00:14:59.600
And I think as a first pass to get it into PVsyst, this is good.

00:15:00.560 --> 00:15:03.850
I think that that model and that equation probably could ...

00:15:03.850 --> 00:15:07.280
be better and we would need to explore it for more examples.

00:15:07.280 --> 00:15:09.251
We've just sort of done one or two,

00:15:09.251 --> 00:15:12.349
but it seems to us like right now that would be the best ...

00:15:12.349 --> 00:15:13.334
way to do it. Yes.

00:15:13.334 --> 00:15:14.038
Okay, cool.

00:15:14.040 --> 00:15:15.975
I mean, there still has to be pan files ...

00:15:15.975 --> 00:15:18.159
and things like that created. Yeah, sure.

00:15:18.160 --> 00:15:21.280
So this is a whole area of work that needs to be done, I think.

00:15:21.920 --> 00:15:22.560
Thank you.

00:15:25.840 --> 00:15:26.480
Thanks, Mal.

00:15:27.040 --> 00:15:29.200
[Natasha from Q-Cells] You used a header junction bottom cell.

00:15:29.200 --> 00:15:31.743
Like how much do you expect it to shift at all if,

00:15:31.743 --> 00:15:33.959
like you have a topcon, like bottom cell?

00:15:33.960 --> 00:15:37.520
Or is it kind of in the noise with the shifting band gap at the top cell?

00:15:38.400 --> 00:15:40.320
Yeah, I mean, that's.

00:15:40.720 --> 00:15:41.880
How much will it like.

00:15:41.880 --> 00:15:44.800
We haven't really explored changing the top cell and the bottom cell.

00:15:46.000 --> 00:15:47.811
For us, it's about our customers ...

00:15:47.811 --> 00:15:50.159
bringing in whatever they happen to have.

00:15:51.040 --> 00:15:53.440
So I really couldn't answer that actually.

00:15:54.160 --> 00:15:56.643
We just have those measurements and there's not ...

00:15:56.643 --> 00:15:59.002
a lot of these sorts of measurements I've seen ...

00:15:59.002 --> 00:16:01.919
where you get EQE measured as a function of temperature.

00:16:03.120 --> 00:16:05.072
I think in general, I find the perovskite tandem ...

00:16:05.072 --> 00:16:05.999
area really exciting.

00:16:06.000 --> 00:16:08.045
With all the extra characterization that has to go ...

00:16:08.045 --> 00:16:09.359
on, it's much more interesting.

00:16:10.000 --> 00:16:11.240
It needs measuring, though.

00:16:11.240 --> 00:16:12.119
Yeah, cool. Thanks.

00:16:12.200 --> 00:16:13.960
[Severin from OxfordPV] Maybe a quick follow up from me.

00:16:13.960 --> 00:16:15.880
Have you looked at four terminal tandems?

00:16:16.760 --> 00:16:17.800
No, we haven't yet.

00:16:18.440 --> 00:16:22.600
The way SunSolve works though is it's just a great big spice circuit.

00:16:23.320 --> 00:16:27.579
So I think that's almost one of the next things to do actually,

00:16:27.579 --> 00:16:30.919
is to wire it up and like, I'm not even quite sure.

00:16:30.920 --> 00:16:33.945
At what point does it stop being four terminals because ...

00:16:33.945 --> 00:16:36.839
the inverter has two and the modules tend to have two.

00:16:37.520 --> 00:16:40.718
So I guess we would then be simulating some of the voltage ...

00:16:40.718 --> 00:16:42.079
mismatch at that point.

00:16:42.400 --> 00:16:43.680
So certainly it can be done.

00:16:44.080 --> 00:16:46.175
We haven't quite put it in there yet,

00:16:46.175 --> 00:16:47.222
but yeah, we will,

00:16:47.222 --> 00:16:50.225
particularly once someone starts asking to see it.

00:16:50.225 --> 00:16:50.923
Yeah, nice.

00:16:50.923 --> 00:16:52.878
Nils is back. Sure. One final one.

00:16:53.840 --> 00:16:56.730
[Nils from Total] Yeah, I struggle a bit with the topic ...

00:16:56.730 --> 00:16:58.079
that I asked about first.

00:16:58.080 --> 00:16:59.820
So let's say you have a tandem,

00:16:59.820 --> 00:17:01.978
you know, what should be the spectrum ...

00:17:01.978 --> 00:17:05.598
mismatch factor to treat it like a one junction cell in PVsyst.

00:17:06.320 --> 00:17:09.263
But now you will have different temperatures and ...

00:17:09.263 --> 00:17:11.344
that should, in my understanding,

00:17:11.344 --> 00:17:14.215
change your spectrum mismatch factor due to the ...

00:17:14.215 --> 00:17:16.799
band gap effect that you were pointing out.

00:17:17.440 --> 00:17:20.984
So is that the point where the simplification breaks down ...

00:17:20.984 --> 00:17:24.159
and you should rather have a full blown simulation?

00:17:24.480 --> 00:17:26.705
Well, it's a good point,

00:17:26.705 --> 00:17:31.600
but we are also lining up maybe more than I made clear.

00:17:31.680 --> 00:17:34.560
So you would be using the same TMY data, for example.

00:17:35.440 --> 00:17:39.416
So PVsyst would be calculating the temperature of ...

00:17:39.416 --> 00:17:41.120
the cell at each hour.

00:17:41.280 --> 00:17:43.935
It would probably be very similar to what we'd done ...

00:17:43.935 --> 00:17:45.199
when we synthesized it.

00:17:45.760 --> 00:17:50.400
So how well it would then work for other TMY files, for example.

00:17:51.920 --> 00:17:54.073
Again we haven't explored it, so we could.

00:17:54.073 --> 00:17:55.119
Yeah, you're right.

00:17:55.120 --> 00:17:58.094
You could calibrate it in one site and see how well it works ...

00:17:58.094 --> 00:17:59.519
in lots of different sites.

00:18:00.880 --> 00:18:02.588
In our opinion, the thing to do is to ...

00:18:02.588 --> 00:18:04.414
synthesize the spectra and solve it,

00:18:04.414 --> 00:18:06.829
but that's probably not going to get into PVsyst,

00:18:06.829 --> 00:18:09.303
so there needs to be a way to put it in as best as we can ...

00:18:09.303 --> 00:18:10.834
and yeah, that's a good idea for ...

00:18:10.834 --> 00:18:12.718
something for someone to try, I think.

00:18:13.840 --> 00:18:14.870
All right, fantastic.

00:18:14.870 --> 00:18:16.279
Thank you, Malcolm. Thank you.

00:18:16.280 --> 00:18:18.241
That was an excellent presentation.

00:18:18.241 --> 00:18:19.759
Not lying. Another applaud.